Emeritus Professor Bruce Chapman

Emeritus Professor
College of Asia and the Pacific

Professor Bruce Chapman is an economist and has worked at The Australian National University since 1984. He has extensive experience in public policy, including: the motivation and design of the Higher Education Contribution Scheme (the first national income contingent loan scheme using the income tax system for collection) in 1989; engagement with the empirical and conceptual basis related to long-term unemployment leading to the Working Nation program in 1994; as a senior economic advisor to Prime Minister Paul Keating, 1994-96; as a higher education financing consultant to the World Bank and the governments of Thailand, Papua New Guinea, Mexico, Canada, the UK, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Malaysia, Colombia, the US, Chile and China, 1996-2013; as a consultant to the Bradley Review of Australian Higher Education on student income support, 2008; and as a consultant to the Australian Government's Base Funding Review, 2011.

He has published over 200 papers on a range of issues, including income contingent loans, long-term unemployment, the meaning of job flows data, the economics of crime, the economics of cricket, fertility, marital separation and government as risk manager. Over the last several years he has convened conferences, and written extensively, on the application of income contingent loans to a host of social and economic reform issues, such as for the financing of drought relief, low level criminal fines, elite athlete training, paid parental leave, white collar crime, community based investment projects, Indigenous business investment, and for taxing the brain drain.

To read more about Professor Chapman please visit https://brucejchapman.com/.

Research interests

Higher education funding; student loans; income contingent loan mechanisms; the economics of crime; applied econometrics; education economics; labour economics

Groups

  • Kenny, M, Norton, A, Schubert, M et al. 2021, Democracy Sausage with Mark Kenny: Knowledge is power? Universities in the COVID-19 crisis.
  • Kenny, M, Taflaga, M, Stewart, M et al. 2020, Democracy Sausage with Mark Kenny: Coming clean on COVID-19 costs.
  • Chapman, B & Lindenmayer, D 2019, 'A novel approach to the sustainable financing of the global restoration of degraded agricultural land', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 14, no. 12, pp. -.
  • Chapman, B & Doris, A 2019, 'Modelling higher education financing reform for Ireland', Economics of Education Review, vol. 71, pp. 109-119.
  • Chapman, B & Dearden, L 2017, 'Conceptual and Empirical Issues for Alternative Student Loan Designs: The Significance of Loan Repayment Burdens for the United States', Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, vol. 671, no. 1, pp. 249-268pp.
  • Botterill, L, Chapman, B & Kelly, S 2017, 'Revisiting revenue contingent loans for drought relief: Government as risk manager', Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, vol. 61, no. 3, pp. 367-384.
  • Chapman, B 2016, 'Income Contingent Loans as a General Risk Management Instrument', in J E Stiglitz and M Guzman (ed.), Contemporary Issues in Microeconomics, Springer, New York, USA, pp. 137-144pp.
  • Chapman, B 2015, 'Obstacles on the way to reform', in Philip Crisp (ed.), So You Want To Be a Leader: Influential people reveal how to succeed in public life, Hybrid Publishers, Melbourne, Australia, pp. 202-214pp.
  • Higgins, T & Chapman, B 2015, Feasibility and design of a tertiary education entitlement in Australia: modelling and costing a universal income contingent loan.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2015, 'An analysis of Stafford loan repayment burdens', Economics of Education Review, vol. 45, pp. 89-102.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2015, 'Measuring the value of externalities from higher education', Higher Education, vol. 70, no. 5, pp. 767-785.
  • Chapman, B, Clarke, P, Higgins, T et al 2015, 'Income Contingent Collection of a 'Brain Drain Tax': Theory, Policy and Empirical Potential', Population Review, vol. 54, no. 2, pp. 13-27.
  • Chapman, B, Lounkaew, K & Piggott, J 2015, 'Introduction to special collection six on the labour market, migration and ageing', Population Review, vol. 54, no. 2, pp. 42-46.
  • Chapman, B, Higgins, T & Stiglitz, J 2014, 'Introduction and Summary', in Bruce Chapman, Timothy Higgins & Joseph E Stiglitz (ed.), INCOME CONTINGENT LOANS: Theory, Practice and Prospects, Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, Basingstoke and New York, pp. 1-11.
  • Chapman, B & Gregory, R 2014, 'Steven Jonathan Dowrick, 1953-2013: A Tribute', Economic Record, vol. 90, no. 289, pp. 266-269.
  • Clarke, P & Chapman, B 2014, 'Internationalisation of ICLs to deal with Human Capital Trade Imbalances', in Bruce Chapman, Timothy Higgins & Joseph E Stiglitz (ed.), INCOME CONTINGENT LOANS: Theory, Practice and Prospects, Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, Basingstoke and New York, pp. 136-141.
  • Chapman, B 2014, 'Income Contingent Loans: Background', in Bruce Chapman, Timothy Higgins & Joseph E Stiglitz (ed.), INCOME CONTINGENT LOANS: Theory, Practice and Prospects, Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, Basingstoke and New York, pp. 12-28.
  • Chapman, B, Baldwin, K & Raya, U 2014, 'Improving access to solar energy systems using income contingent loans', Optics for Solar Energy, Optical Society of American (OSA), USA, pp. 1-3.
  • Chapman, B, Higgins, T & Stiglitz, J, eds, 2014, Income Contingent Loans: Theory, Practice and Prospects, Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, England.
  • Chapman, B 2013, 'Higher Education financing and inequality: the critical role of student loan scheme design - illustrations from Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand', in Wendy Dobson (ed.), Human Capital Formation and Economic Growth in Asia and the Pacific, Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, Abingdon & New York, pp. 79-101.
  • Chapman, B & Racionero Llorente, M 2013, Role model in life and economics, pp. online.
  • Chapman, B & Higgins, T 2013, 'The costs of unpaid higher education contribution scheme debts of graduates working abroad', The Australian Economic Review, vol. 46, no. 3, pp. 286-299.
  • Kippen, R, Chapman, B, Yu, P et al 2013, 'What's love got to do with it? Homogamy and dyadic approaches to understanding marital instability', Journal of Population Research, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 213-247.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2013, 'Introduction to the special issue on Economic Research for Education Policy', Economics of Education Review, vol. 37, pp. 200-203.
  • Chapman, B & Nicholls, J 2013, 'HECS', in Croucher, Marginson, Norton, Wells (ed.), The Dawkins Revolution 25 Years On, Melbourne University Press (an imprint of Melbourne University Publishing), Victoria, Australia, pp. 108-125.
  • Chapman, B 2013, 'Reinventing Student Loans: Paying What You Can', Solutions: for a sustainable and desirable future, vol. 4, no. 5, pp. 1-6.
  • Chapman, B & Suryadarma, D 2013, 'Financing higher education: The viability of commercial student loan scheme in Indonesia', in Daniel Suryadarma & Gavin W Jones (ed.), Education in Indonesia, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies (ISEAS), Singapore, pp. 203-215.
  • Chapman, B & Higgins, T 2013, The Cost of Unpaid HECS Debts from Graduates Going Overseas.
  • Celermajer, D, Finn, M, Altman, J et al 2013, Australian Political Party Poverty Audit August 2013.
  • Chapman, B & Liu, A. Y.C. (2013). 'Repayment burdens of student loans for Vietnamese higher education', Economics of Education Review, 37: 298-308.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2013, 'How Many Jobs Is 23,510, Really?', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 259-275.
  • Chapman, B & Sinning (forthcoming, 2013), Student loan reforms for German higher education: Financing tuition fees, Education Economics.
  • Chapman, Bruce and Lounkaew, K. (forthcoming, 2013), "How Many Jobs is 23,510 Really?", Australian Journal of Labour Economics.
  • Chapman, B 2012, 'Dr Medhi Krongkaew: Thailand's Loan Ranger', in Sirilaksana Khoman and friends (ed.), A Scholar for All: Medhi Krongkaew, Thammasat University Press, Bangkok, pp. 18-21.
  • Chapman, B & Lewis, P 2012, 'Peter Kenyon 1952-2012: a memoir and tribute', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 161-165.
  • Armstrong, S & Chapman, B, eds, 2011, Financing Higher Education and Economic Development in East Asia, ANU ePress, Canberra Australia.
  • Chapman, B 2011, 'The Australian University Student Financing System: The rationale for, and experience with, income-contingent loans', in Shiro Armstrong and Bruce Chapman (ed.), Financing Higher Education and Economic Development in East Asia, ANU ePress, Canberra Australia, pp. 83-105.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2011, 'Income-Contingent Student Loans for Thailand: Alternatives compared', in Shiro Armstrong and Bruce Chapman (ed.), Financing Higher Education and Economic Development in East Asia, ANU ePress, Canberra Australia, pp. 245-281.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2010, 'Income contingent student loans for Thailand: Alternatives compared', Economics of Education Review, vol. 29, no. 5, pp. 695-709.
  • Chapman, B 2010, 'Reflections on four Australian case studies of evidence-based policy', in Australian Government Productivity Commission (ed.), Strengthening Evidence-based Policy on the Australian Federation, Australian Government Productivity Commission, Canberra, pp. 109-126.
  • Chapman, B, Lounkaew, K, Polsiri, P et al 2010, 'Thailands Student Loans Fund: Interest rate subsidies and repayment burdens', Economics of Education Review, vol. 29, no. 5, pp. 685-694.
  • Chapman, B & Shavit, Y 2010, A Better Way to Borrow, p. 1.
  • Chapman, B & Tulip, P 2010, 'Financing Higher Education', in P. Peterson, E. Baker, B. McGaw (ed.), International Encyclopedia of Education, Volume 8 (3rd ed), Elsevier, Oxford, pp. 499-506(Vol 4).
  • Chapman, B 2010, 'Policy Design Issues for Risk Management: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard in the Context of Income Contingent Loans', in Greg Marston, Jeremy Moss and John Quiggin (ed.), Risk, Welfare and Work, Melbourne University Press (an imprint of Melbourne University Publishing), Carlton, Australia, pp. 233-252.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2009, 'Reforming Youth Allowance: The "Independent-at-Home" Category', Economic Papers, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 304-309.
  • Gray, M & Chapman, B 2007, 'Relationship breakdown and the economic welfare of Australian mothers and their children', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 253-277.
  • Chapman, B 2006, Income Contingent Loans as Public Policy, The Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia.
  • Botterill, L & Chapman, B 2009, 'A Revenue Contingent Loan Instrument for Agricultural Credit with particular reference to drought relief', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 181-196.
  • Chapman, B & Leigh, A 2009, 'Do very high tax rates induce bunching? Implications for the Design of Income Contingent Loan Schemes', Economic Record, vol. 85, no. 270, pp. 276-289.
  • Chapman, B & Lounkaew, K 2009, 'The effects of different loan schemes for higher education tuition: An analysis of rates of return and tuition revenue in Thailand', Higher Education in Europe, vol. 34, no. 2, pp. 211-226.
  • Chapman, B & Tan, M 2009, 'The Australian University Student Financing System: The Rationale for, and Experience with, Income-contingent Loans', in Aida, Yunus, Rosni Bakar and Shukran Abdul Rahman (ed.), Student Loan Schemes: Experiences of New Zealand, Australia, India and Thailand and Way Forward for Malaysia, Universiti Sains Malaysia Press, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia, pp. 38-63.
  • Chapman, B & Hunter, B 2009, 'Exploring creative applications of income contingent loans', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 133-144.
  • Chapman, B, Higgins, T & Taylor, D 2009, 'Income Contingent Loans for Mature Aged Training', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 167 - 179.
  • Chapman, B & Higgins, T 2009, 'An Income Contingent Loan for Extending Paid Parental Leave', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 197 - 216.
  • Chapman, B, Rodrigues, M & Ryan, C 2008, 'An Analysis of FEE-HELP in the Vocational Education and Training Sector', The Australian Economic Review, vol. 41, no. 1, pp. 1-14.
  • Chapman, B 2008, '2020 Summit: An Australian on Mars by 2020', Agenda: a journal of policy analysis and reform, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 21-23.
  • Chapman, B 2008, HECS looses its way, Campus Review Weekly.
  • Chapman, B 2008, The US College Loan System Looks Odd from Down Under, Harvard College Economics Review .
  • Chapman, B & Gray, M 2007, 'Relationship Breakdown and the Economic Welfare of Australian Mothers and their Children', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 253-277.
  • Yu, P, Kippen, R & Chapman, B 2007, 'Births, Debts and Mirages: The Impact of the Higher Education Contribution Scheme (HECS) and Other Factors on Australian Fertility Expectations', Journal of Population Research, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 73-90.
  • Chapman, B 2007, 'Higher Education Financing in Australia', DICE Report (Database for Institutional Comparisons in Europe), vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 55-61.
  • Gray, M & Chapman, B 2006, 'Labour market issues', Indigenous Socioeconomic Outcomes: Assessing Recent Evidence, ed. B.H. Hunter, ANU ePress, Canberra, pp. 115-125.
  • Chapman, B 2006, 'Income Contingent Loans for Higher Education: International Reforms', in E. Hanushek and F. Welch (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Education Vol 2, Elsevier, North-Holland, pp. 1435-1503.
  • Gray, M & Chapman, B 2006, 'Labour Market Issues', in B.H. Hunter (ed.), Assessing The Evidence on Indigenous Socioeconomic Outcomes: A Focus on the 2002 NATSISS, ANU ePress, Canberra, ACT, pp. 115-125.
  • Chapman, B 2006, 'Income Related Students Loans: Concepts, International Reforms and Administrative Challenges', in Teixeira, P.N., Johnstone, D.B., Rosa, M.J. & Vossensteyn, H. (ed.), Cost-sharing and Accessibility in Higher Education: A fairer deal?, Springer, The Netherlands, pp. 51-77.
  • Chapman, B & Miller, P 2006, 'Introduction to the Bobfest', Economic Record, vol. 82, no. 257, pp. 113-117.
  • Chapman, B & Greenaway, D 2006, 'Learning to Live With Loans? International Policy Transfer and the Funding of Higher Education', The World Economy, vol. 29, no. 8, pp. 1057-1075.
  • Chapman, B & Gray, M 2006, 'Response to Breusch and Gray', Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, vol. 31, no. 1-2, pp. 127-138.
  • Gray, M & Chapman, B 2006, 'Some Labour Market Measurement Issues for Indigenous Australians', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 5-16.
  • Chapman, B 2006, Government Managing Risk: Income contingent loans for social and economic progress, Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, London and New York.
  • Chapman, B & Simes, R 2006, 'Profit Contigent Loans for Social Community Investment Projects in Disadvantaged Regions', Public Policy, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 93-102.
  • Botterill, L & Chapman, B 2006, 'Turning Grants into Loans: Income Contingent Loans for Drought Relief', in Bruce Chapman (ed.), Government Managing Risk: Income contingent loans for social and economic progress, Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, London and New York, pp. 122-139.
  • Chapman, B & Ryan, C 2005, 'The Access Implications of Income-Contingent Charges for Higher Education: Lessons from Australia', Economics of Education Review, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 491-512.
  • Chapman, B & Denniss, R 2005, 'Using Financial Incentives and Income Contingent Penalties to Detect and Punish Collusion and Insider Trading', Australian and New Zealand Journal of Criminology, vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 122-140.
  • Chapman, B 2004, 'Income-contingent Loans: Lessons from Australia', in Elizabeth F. O?Halloran, Miguel Palacios Lleras, Amy L. Halliday and Robert F. B (ed.), An Executive Briefing on Financing Human Capital, Darden Business Publishing, University of Virginia, pp. 24-25.
  • Chapman, B, Flatau, P & Kenyon, P 2004, 'The Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Special Issue: Case Studies in Labour Economics', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 109-124.
  • Chapman, B, Freiburg, A, Quiggan, J et al 2004, 'Using the Tax System to Collect Fines', Australian Journal of Public Administration, vol. 63, no. 3, pp. 20-32.
  • Botterill, L & Chapman, B 2004, 'An Income-Related Loans Proposal for Drought Relief for Farm Businesses', Australian Journal of Public Administration, vol. 63, no. 3, pp. 10-19.
  • Beer, G & Chapman, B 2004, 'HECS System Changes: Impact on Students', Agenda: a journal of policy analysis and reform, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 157-174.
  • Blackham, J & Chapman, B 2004, 'The Value of Don Bradman: Additional Revenue in Australian Ashes Tests', Economic Papers, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 369-385.
  • Chapman, B 2003, 'Transformations in the Labour Force', in Khoo, Siew-Ean & McDonald, Peter (ed.), The transformation of Australia's population: 1970-2030, UNSW Press, Sydney, pp. 219-237.
  • Botterill, L & Chapman, B 2002, 'Developing equitable and affordable government responses to drought in Australia', Australasian Political Studies Association Conference (APSA 2002), Australasian Political Studies Association, online, pp. online.
  • Chapman, B & Gray, M 2002, 'Youth unemployment: aggregate incidence and consequences for individuals', in Peter Saunders and Richard Taylor (ed.), The Price of Prosperity: The Economic and Social Costs of Unemployment, UNSW Press, Sydney, NSW, pp. 86-108.
  • Chapman, B, Weatherburn, D, Kapuscinski, C et al 2002, 'Unemployment duration, schooling and property crime', Crime and Justice Bulletin, vol. 74, pp. 16-.
  • Chapman, B & Ryan, C 2002, 'Income-contingent financing of student charges for higher education: assessing the Australian innovation', Welsh Journal of Education, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 64-81.
  • Chapman, B, Jordan, J, Oliver, K et al 2001, 'Unemployment Traps and Age-Earnings Profiles: Estimates for Australia in 2000', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 174-191.
  • Gray, M & Chapman, B 2001, 'The Foregone Earnings from Child Rearing: Changes Between 1986 and 1997', Family Matters, vol. 58, pp. 4-9.
  • Chapman, B & Salvage, A 2001, 'Australian Postgraduate Financing Options', Agenda: a journal of policy analysis and reform, vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 349-364.
  • Watson, L, Wheelahan, L & Chapman, B 2001, 'From silos to seamlessness: Toward a cross-sectoral funding model for postcompulsory education and training', Australian Journal of Education, vol. 45, no. 3, pp. 249-262.
  • Chapman, B 2001, 'Australian Higher Education Financing: Issues for Reform', The Australian Economic Review, vol. 34, no. 2, pp. 195-204.
  • Chapman, B & Kapuscinski, C 2001, 'Avoiding Recession and Long Term Unemployment', The Economic and Labour Relations Review, vol. 12, no. Supplement, pp. 99-116.
  • Chapman, B & Withers, G 2001, 'Human Capital Accumulation: Education and Immigration', in John Nieuwenhuysen, Peter Lloyd and Margaret Mead (ed.), Reshaping Australia's Economy: Growth with Equity and Sustainability, Cambridge University Press, Melbourne, Australia, pp. 242-267.
  • Chapman, B, Dunlop, Y, Gray, M. & A. Y.C. Liu (2001). 'The Impact of Children on the Lifetime Earnings of Australian Women:Evidence from the 1990s', The Australian Economic Review, 34(4):373-389.
  • Chapman, B 2000, 'The Myth of the Short Sharp Shock', Business Council of Australia Papers, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 76-80.
  • Chapman, B & Cobb-Clark, D 1999, 'A Comparative Static Model of the Relationship Between Immigration and the Short-Run Job Prospects of Unemployed Residents', Economic Record, vol. 75, pp. 358-368.